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Staffing the Police


Modeling Global Crime:

Illicit Drugs

Money Laundering

Justice System Resource Allocation:

Forecasting Trends in Crime

The Costs of Crime

Staffing the Police

Indigenous Over-representation in the Criminal Justice System




Developing a Staffing Model for Police

The development of a well validated Human Resource Allocation Model (HRAM) is critical to ensure that Police have sufficient staff to meet their objectives and to deliver agreed projects and outcomes.  This model should ideally provide a mechanism for the Police to identify their total global requirements for police numbers, how they should be distributed at a regional, divisional, district and station level and what the respective skill levels of such a distributed workforce should be.  This web page describes, in plain language, how a Human Resource Allocation Model (HRAM) can be developed, how it works, and how it can be used.

The geographic, socio-economic and demographic characteristics of a district are the primary determinants of the levels of crime and other policing tasks in that district, and the levels of crime and other tasks are the primary determinants of the numbers of police needed to deal with the problems. What we need to do is work out from the statistics how many crimes and other tasks can be expected, given the geographic, socio-economic and demographic characteristics of a district, and then work out how many police you need to respond to those levels of crime and road trauma. The core of the model is a database with each row containing the data for a specific district, and each column is a measure relevant to some aspect of police work, such as the numbers of young people in the district, the level of retail activity, numbers of hotels etc. The variables included in the database are selected on the basis of criminological findings, which consistently identify a range of community characteristics that influence levels of crime and road trauma.

The utility of a HRAM is not confined to simply determining the appropriate levels of staffing for each district. The formulation of the model involves the consideration of community characteristics to determine what levels of crime and road trauma can be expected in each district. These expectations can be compared to actual outcomes to measure district policing performance.  Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) can be explicitly incorporated in the HRAM, including those relating to Public Perceptions of Police, so performance can be monitored in all its key aspects, and staffing or other management adjustments can be made on the basis of independent and up-to-date information.

John Walker Crime Trends Analysis has developed a methodology for determining optimal police numbers and allocating them across police districts, based on over 25 years of experience and analysis. The model has been described by Police Commissioner Christine Nixon as "the Holy Grail of Policing" and by the Victorian Police Association as "one of the world's most advanced" (Herald Sun, Melbourne, 17/01/2006). We can show you how to get the best from your police budget.

Key Benefits

bulletBetter understanding of the policing environment
bulletBetter resource and budgetary planning
bulletMore effective and efficient police

Download a brochure (pdf) - click here.

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Copyright 2006 John Walker Crime Trends Analysis
Last modified: 09/13/06