Modeling Global Crime:
Justice System Resource Allocation:
Forecasting Trends in Crime
The Costs of Crime
Staffing the Police
Over-representation in the Criminal Justice System
John Walker Crime Trends Analysis - What do we do?
Strategic Planning for the Criminal Justice
Planning for resources such as new prisons or training police for
emerging trends in crime requires some idea of what the future crime scene
will look like, and how many offenders will be sentenced to terms of
imprisonment. This page describes how we generate the projections of
crime trends, and how we turn them into a useful basis for resource planning
and budgeting in the criminal justice system.
Targeting Transnational Crime and
Targeting transnational crime and moneylaundering requires more
than just a reactive approach. The first step should be determining
where the threats are coming from, and how big those threats are.
Transnational crimes are economic crimes, and they can only be attacked if
we understand their economic structure. This page shows how you can generate
useful data and combine it with expert knowledge to identify the key
threats. This information can then indicate the most effective
directions for preventing transnational crime and money laundering.
- Developing a Staffing Model for Police
How many police are needed to prevent crime, apprehend offenders
and maintain public confidence in law and order? Given budgetary
constraints, how can you allocate police to different districts to obtain
optimal results? This page describes an approach to police staffing
that has been described as "one of the world's most advanced".
- Estimating the Costs of Crime
Prioritising crime prevention and control activities is important.
One aspect of crime is the costs it imposes, not only on victims, but also
on their families, friends , communities and society as a whole. This
page describes how you can estimate the relative costs of different types of
crime, and how those calculations can form the basis of a rational resource
allocation across the criminal justice system.
- Illicit Drugs Global Economic Model
Illicit drugs trading involves a number of different markets in different
countries and regions around the world. However, what they do have in common is that they are economic players in
those countries and regions, and their economic impacts can be measured.
This is an important step in identifying strategies to reduce the harm
caused by illicit drugs use, and this page shows how the UNODC's global
model was developed.
- Reducing Indigenous Over-representation
in the Criminal Justice System
The imprisonment rates of Australian indigenous people have been an
embarrassment to Australia for many years. In 1991, the report of the Royal Commission into Aboriginal Deaths
in Custody highlighted the significant over-representation of indigenous people
in Australian prisons. The 1994 Report of the Inquiry into the Implementation by
Governments of the Recommendations of the Royal Commission into Aboriginal
Deaths in Custody - entitled "Justice under Scrutiny" - showed how difficult an
issue indigenous imprisonment is for government bodies in Australia to solve,
but by focusing on the criminal justice system both of these immensely costly
Inquiries ensured that no
progress was going to be made in the ensuing years: - the figures are no
better now than they were in 1994. This page presents some of the key
facts about the imprisonment of indigenous people in Australia and explores two
of the principal reasons behind the statistics, in the hope that they will
assist politicians, the media, academics and lobby groups to focus their efforts
towards the causes rather than the symptoms of the problem.