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We are proudly assisted by Business and Industry Development, ACT Government.

New!!

Updates to "Years in Review"

Published by the Australian Crime Commission: The Cost of Serious and Organised Crime in Australia, Dec 2015. 

Published July 2013 杨泾,  Walker J., and 吴志明. Where does China’s Dirty Money Outflow? - The Walker Gravity Model and Five Dimensions Analysis, Chinese Journal of Financial Theory and Practice, July 2013.

Published September 2013 Walker,J. and Unger B., (2013) Measuring Global Moneylaundering: - the Walker Gravity Model,, in Research Handbook on Money Laundering, Eds Brigitte Unger and Daan van der Linde, Edward Elgar Press.

Published 26/10/2011 Pietschmann, T. and Walker,J. (2011) Estimating illicit financial flows resulting from drug trafficking and other transnational organized crimes, Research Report, Vienna, U.N. Office on Drugs and Crime.

Published 1/1/2010 in the Review of Law and Economics: Measuring Global Money Laundering: "The Walker Gravity Model", by John Walker and Brigitte Unger (Utrecht University School of Economics)

Currently assisting:

bulletthe Catholic University of Milan (TransCrime), with analysis of the Organised Crime Investment Portfolio;
bulletthe Victorian dept of Justice with a workload and finance forecasting model for the whole of the Justice portfolio;
bulletthe Singapore Ministry of Home Affairs with the development of a forecasting model for crime and justice;
bulletthe ACT Dept of Justice and Community Services with a Prison Projections Model.

Previous Projects:

bulletthe United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, Vienna, with analysis of illicit financial flows from Transnational Organised Crime;
bulletthe ACT Dept of Justice and Community Services with a Police Staffing Model.
bulletAnalysis of the Proceeds of Crime & Cost-effectiveness of Anti-Moneylaundering efforts in European Union Countries.
bulletthe Victorian Court of Appeal with Court Workload projections;
bulletthe IMF in developing a methodology to measure money laundering risks.

 

Finalist in the ACT Chief Minister's Export Awards, 2008, recognising my work with the Chinese People's Public Security University, the UNODC and the IMF.

Presentation to Norad, Oslo, Estimating Illicit Flows from Developing Countries

2008 in Review!

 Updated estimates of ML in and through Australia

6-page Summary Report

100-page Main Report

Modeling Global Crime:

Illicit Drugs

Money Laundering

Justice System Resource Allocation:

Forecasting Trends in Crime

The Costs of Crime

Staffing the Police

Indigenous Over-representation in the Criminal Justice System

 

 

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John Walker Crime Trends Analysis Contents

The analysis of trends in crime is a pre-requisite for finding solutions.  This website aims to provide some assistance to those looking for solutions to crime, from the local level to, quite literally, the global level.  Data about crime are often very poor.  Inevitably, they relate only to crimes that the police find out about, or that victims report to police or special crime victimisation surveys.  Academic criminologists have created quite a mystique about the so-called "dark figure of crime", to the extent that administrators and politicians are often convinced that analysis of the available data is simply a waste of time. 

This website takes quite the opposite point of view, noting that crime is no different to economics in having poor and incomplete data.  Economists, however, take this in their stride, and develop forecasting models that incorporate both the statistical evidence and the best available expert knowledge.  The data issues are amplified many times over when you try to solve economic or crime problems at the international or global level, but we have shown, in these web pages, that it is not impossible to monitor trends in crime - even at the global level - and that international co-operation against crime can be based on a deeper analysis of the available facts, instead of simply following the dictates of those very annoying people who insist - without any evidence - that they have the answers.

John Walker Crime Trends Analysis Home Page

bulletKriminalität auf dem fünftem Kontinent
bulletKriminalitat_files/filelist.xml
bulletEstimating the Illicit Flows – Asking the Right Questions
bulletWalker's Law
bulletAustrac 1995 Estimates report.doc
bulletJohn Walker Crime Trends Analysis Home Page
bulletPhotos
bulletSurvey
bulletQuestionnaire.pdf
bulletSurvey Page 2
bulletBiography
bulletAUSTRALIAN INSTITUTE OF CRIMINOLOGY
bulletSalute to the Economic Rationalist
bulletLinks
bulletCrimeTrends News Page
bulletJohn Walker Crime Trends Analysis - What do we Do?
bulletIllicit Drugs
bulletDrugs model_files/filelist.xml
bulletCrime Trends
bulletCrime trends_files/filelist.xml
bulletCrime in new suburb.gif
bulletCybercrime
bulletCosts of Crime
bulletStaffing the Police
bulletStrategic Planning
bulletTransnational Crime
bulletGlobal money laundering
bulletMLmap.gif
bulletTHE GLOBAL RESPONSE TO MONEY LAUNDERING
bulletTHAILAND MONEY LAUNDERING_files/filelist.xml
bulletTHAILAND MONEY LAUNDERING_files/preview.wmf
bulletTHAILAND MONEY LAUNDERING_files/oledata.mso
bulletTHAILAND MONEY LAUNDERING_files/pres.xml
bulletTHE GLOBAL RESPONSE TO MONEY LAUNDERING
bulletIndigenous Issues
bulletIndigenous_files/filelist.xml
bulletJohn Walker Crime Trends Analysis Downloads Page
bulletStrategic Planning in the Criminal Justice System.pdf
bulletThe Economics of Transnational Crime.pdf
bulletStaffing the Police.pdf
bulletMeasuring the Costs of Crime.pdf
bulletWalker Modelling Approach.pdf
bulletAttractiveness Index.xls
bulletJohn Walker Crime Trends Analysis Table of Contents Page
bulletJohn Walker Crime Trends Analysis Search Page
bullet约翰步行者罪行趋势分析
bulletChinese home page_files/filelist.xml
bulletKriminalität auf dem fünftem Kontinent
bulletKriminalität auf dem fünftem Kontinent_files/filelist.xml
bulletTHE GLOBAL RESPONSE TO MONEY LAUNDERING
bulletQuantifying Financial Crime in the Asia Pacific
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bulletJohn Walker Crime Trends Analysis Feedback Page
bulletChinese home page_files/translate_n.htm
bulletTHE GLOBAL RESPONSE TO MONEY LAUNDERING
bulletTHE GLOBAL RESPONSE TO MONEY LAUNDERING
bulletTHE GLOBAL RESPONSE TO MONEY LAUNDERING
bulletIndigenous Over-representation_files/master02.htm
bulletJohn Walker Crime Trends Analysis Home Page
bulletTHE GLOBAL RESPONSE TO MONEY LAUNDERING
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bulletTHE GLOBAL RESPONSE TO MONEY LAUNDERING
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bulletTHE GLOBAL RESPONSE TO MONEY LAUNDERING
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bulletTHAILAND MONEY LAUNDERING_files/master01.htm
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bulletIndigenous Over-representation_files/master03.htm
bulletIndigenous Over-representation_files/fullscreen.htm
bulletTHE GLOBAL RESPONSE TO MONEY LAUNDERING
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bulletStatistics for johnwalkercrimetrendsanalysis.com.au (2008-11)
bullet约翰走路犯罪趋势分析主页
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bulletIndigenous Over-representation_files/outline.htm
bulletTargeting Transnational Crime and Moneylaundering
bulletTHE GLOBAL RESPONSE TO MONEY LAUNDERING
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bulletTHE GLOBAL RESPONSE TO MONEY LAUNDERING
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Last modified: 01/18/16